Projext

CDs Cling to Life

2008-08-20T08:00:00Z

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The CD refuses to die.
More songs will be downloaded than played on CD by 2012, earning 20% more money.
Downloads will bring $4.8 billion into music industry coffers.

In 2011, half of all music sold in the US will be sold over a wire.

Kodak says the best CDs will will not degrade for 200 years, TDK says 100 years.
Microfilm will last for 500 years, except in tropical climates, where it decays faster than a CD.
Source: Forrester Research

OLEDs to Appear in 2010

2008-06-20T08:00:00Z

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OLEDs won't compete with LEDs before 2010.
That's the prediction of Walter Zywottek, who runs the chemicals division of Merck. Merck is one of the dominant players in LCDs and is investing heavily in people and money to perfect Organic Light-Emitting Diodes.

2009 Large commercial volumes of OLEDs will ship in Japan.
2010 The first OLED flat panels will appear in large commercial quantities elsewhere.

There is a version of Moore’s Law for Light-Emitting Diodes. Haitz’ Law states they LEDs will cost 1/10 as much, and shine 20 times a bright every 10 years. (Named after Roland Haitz of Agilent.)

Source: Reuters

Laptops will Outsell Desktop Computers

2008-05-28T05:09:01Z

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In 2009, more portable computers will be sold than desktop computers.

49 percent - Portion of personal computers accounted for by notebooks in 2008

Gleebit: 37 percent of consumers purchase an external monitor at the same time as they purchase a laptop or notebook computer. The rate for purchase of extra monitors is even higher for corporate buyers.

Source: Lehman Brothers and iSuppli

China Set to Win Pollution Olympics

2008-05-28T04:14:30Z

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2017 is the year CO2 emissions by China are expected to exceed those of the United States.
However, the average US resident emits 6 times the CO2 that the average Chinese resident does.

80 percent - Portion of electricity in China that comes from coal
50 percent - Portion of electricity in the US that comes from coal
10 percent- Portion of US power provided from hydro, biomass, solar, wind geothermal
03 percent - Portion of China power provide from hydro, biomass, solar, wind geothermal
15 percent - Portion of China power mandated by 2020 from those renewable sources.

GleeBit: The fastest growing power technology in China is wind.
Wind turbine production doubles each year.
Sources: Worldwatch Institute and Center for Global Development

Biofuel to Overtake Fossil Fuel

2007-12-19T11:01:21Z

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2013 is the year Brazil will have more biofuel hybrids than gasoline powered vehicles on the highway. The National Association of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers forecasts that more of 52% of sales this year already will be flex-fuel.

2003 - The first "flexi-fuel" vehicle rolled off the production line in Brazil.
2007 - 12% of all cars sold in Brazil are biofuel hybrids.
2008 - 90% of new vehicles in Brazil use biofuel in some form.

The biofuel of choice in Brazil is ethanol made from sugar cane. In 2007, the country produced 22 billion liters, which a little more than the United States produced.

Source: National Association of Motor Vehicle Manufacturers

Panda Genome to Be Sequenced

2007-12-19T11:01:21Z

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March 2009 is when biologists expect to complete the genetic sequence of the Giant Panda.
A draft sequence, which catalogues major markers in the animal's DNA will come first, but the detailed sequence will take years.

2008 March - China, Canada, the U.S., Britain and Denmark launched the project.
2008 September - The draft sequence will have been assembled.

Pandas have a large, complex vocabulary, but little is know about their language. Next year, Ben Charlton of Zoo Atlanta and Jen Keating of the San Diego Zoo will be writing a panda dictionary in China.

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